An analysis of the Libya False Peace: how elite bargains and the Trump administration’s focus on oil contracts mask deep-seated political instability.
Browsing: Haftar
US Flintlock exercises unify Libya’s rival militias for first time since Gaddafi’s fall. Foreign fighters remain the obstacle.
US exercises entrench Haftar’s family dynasty in Libya. Washington risks replacing Gaddafi with another military strongman model.
Saif al-Islam’s killing removes a unifying Green figure and potential political threat, consolidating Libya’s coercive power consolidation.
While Tartus and Khmeimim remain active, Russia’s dispersed airbase network in Libya, including Maaten al-Sarra, is now more critical for power projection. These sites facilitate Africa Corps deployments and arms flows, complicating U.S.-led efforts to unify Libya and stabilize the Sahel region.