Iran’s Gulf attacks backfire, pushing Arab states toward US security dependence and collapsing prospects for regional coexistence.
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Despite stability and a Kurdish deal, Syria lacks political roadmap, suffers economic crisis,and faces regional war threats,risking fragile transition progress.
NATO’s first Middle East office in Jordan signals Western resolve, but capacity is limited.
The Gulf that emerges from this war will be very different; Iran struck all GCC states.
The old regional order is collapsing; Arabs face a choice: fragmented dependency or a collective security framework.
U.S. security aid to Iraq—$13.8 billion since 2015—is now suspended, forcing Baghdad to make an impossible choice.
Iran’s escalation is paradoxically forcing Gulf states closer together;shared security threats are pushing Riyadh ,Abu Dhabi to prioritize defense over rivalry
Turkey views Iran’s stability as a national security imperative, fearing collapse would trigger mass migration and empower Kurdish separatists.
Türkiye and Iraq are deepening ties through security cooperation against the PKK and the multibillion-dollar Development Road Project.
The Manama GCC summit reaffirmed Gulf realism: security integration, economic unity, and self-reliance amid regional shocks.