No outcome of the Iran war preserves Gulf primacy; every scenario leaves them more vulnerable and strategically diminished.
Browsing: Geopolitics
Cairo’s neutrality is driven by economic crisis and the need to avoid a war it cannot afford to fight.
Gulf states see extended war with Iran as a destabilizing threat to the economic reliability and regional stability that built their modern success.
Trump’s religious rhetoric and clashes with the Vatican are driving a major Catholic break from his war policy.
Gulf AI infrastructure and energy dominance outlast Iran’s proxy networks as Tehran’s instability dividend evaporates in the 12 Day War’s aftermath.
Europe needs US on Ukraine; US needs Europe on Iran. A grand bargain is possible.
Turkey bets on Iran war to become energy hub, arms exporter, and Istanbul as Dubai’s rival.
Battlefield blows against Hezbollah open a rare diplomatic window for Israeli-Lebanese peace.
Iran kept its leverage. The US guarantee frayed. Gulf states hedge: rearm, diversify, and talk to Tehran.
Lebanon challenges Hezbollah. Can Iraq and Yemen follow? Aoun speaks, but the world watches from a distance.