Trump repeats Iraq error: regime change without plan. History shows it sparks civil war, instability.
Browsing: Iran
Multi-front war explodes: Khamenei killed, Iran hits Gulf, Hezbollah joins, Israel invades Lebanon. Protracted showdown looms.
IRGC severely degraded but distributed command preserves continuity. Ideological-economic hybrid may consolidate into military-dominant state.
Iran war marks post-liberal order’s death. Power replaces rules. New rivalries emerge. Realism returns.
Air control ≠ regime change. Iran’s ground forces, militias intact. Collapse requires internal fracture, not bombs.
Houthis prioritize survival over loyalty, fearing costly retaliation and Saudi-backed offensive if Iran implodes.
Arrogance of power drives Iran war with no clear goals, risking Afghanistan/Iraq-scale disaster and regional chaos.
Iran’s uranium stockpile survived strikes, forcing ground operation dilemma with no clear success path.
Lebanon trapped between US-Israel pressure on Iran and Hezbollah’s survival calculus, awaiting its turn.
Pahlavi’s Israel support divides opposition as critics mask anti-Zionist discomfort in attacks on his capacity.