The state cannot control armed factions. Protesting Washington is safe. Confronting militias is impossible. Sovereignty is violated from within before without.
Browsing: Analysis
Whither Netanyahu goeth, America goeth. Ground forces arrive. Israel cannot sustain long war alone.
Iran’s regional domination lies in tatters. Critics mistake asymmetric threats for victory. Trump may succeed without regime change. Western elites suffer moral degeneration.
Markets price a quick exit. But physical energy constraints, systemic economic risks, and lack of unified strategy suggest a prolonged, structurally disruptive conflict ahead.
The West’s silence is calculated. Ruthlessness wins weapons. Sparta threatened markets. Genghis Khan threatened souls. One triggered panic. The other triggered nothing.
Any ground operation would face massive geographic challenges, Iranian decentralized resistance, and political risks that make large-scale regime change unrealistic for Washington.
Under UN Resolution 1701, the Litani River was an informal red line, but that framework has now been fully abandoned by Israel’s escalating military campaign.
“Iran, with 35 years of preparation and a strategy calibrated to outlast rather than outgun, may be winning the war.”
“Trump will at some point declare that his Iran mission is accomplished, but it likely won’t be because the United States has achieved its political goals.”
“Iran has surely been hammered by air strikes, and lost its navy and air force, but Iran as a whole continues to defend itself.”