Four Iran scenarios: regime change, modification, ceasefire, collapse. Prescription: seize Kharg, destroy nukes.
Browsing: Analysis
US intelligence: war unlikely to topple Iran. Mojtaba’s succession shows resilience, IRGC consolidation.
Trump disappointed Iran chose leader without US approval. Sovereignty proven under pressure. Tehran decided.
Gulf states could halt oil exports under force majeure, forcing negotiations. Radical but reclaims control.
Iranian Kurds face risky dilemma amid unclear US endgame, past abandonments, and regime brutality.
US officials: No plan for Iran after war. 1953 lessons ignored. Blowback will last generations.
Iran war could empower IRGC: distributed power ensures continuity. External pressure reinforces hardest elements.
US troop withdrawal from Iraq faces uncertainty amid war; forces remain exposed, strategically vulnerable.
Muslim Brotherhood backs Iran amid war, rooted in ideological ties—Sunni-Shiite political Islam converges.
Europe’s Iran diplomacy legacy lies in ruins as EU paralyzed, sidelines itself amid war.