The war in Iran may inadvertently disarm Hezbollah, sidelining Tehran and giving President Aoun a rare window to press his agenda.
Browsing: Analysis
Iran’s opposition is deeply fractured and unable to capitalize on the regime’s weakness; unity is essential for change.
Lebanon’s Jamaa al-Islamiyya is at a crossroads: isolated by U.S. sanctions and internal paralysis, it faces a stark choice.
The 1979 revolution was a bait-and-switch; after 47 years, the real revolution is coming.
Trump’s war on Iran is already losing the home front; polls show just 27% support the strikes.
The U.S.-Israel war on Iran has no winners; a quick end is unlikely and wider escalation looms.
Trump is the fourth U.S. president to promise freedom through regime change; history’s record is bleak.
The Gaza war shattered illusions of dominance and forced the Arab world to rediscover its agency.
Iran faces three simultaneous regime changes: biological decay, an IRGC dictatorship, and a shattered social contract.
Authoritarian regimes are not as strong as they appear; stability without institutions is a temporary postponement, not true power.