Tehran may choose escalation over surrender, betting that Washington’s midterm pressures and its own survival instincts outweigh economic pain.
Browsing: Security
Philby and Bell shaped Abdulaziz’s bargain with America, but MbS broke the caution that kept the kingdom safe.
Syria foils a Hezbollah cell preparing rockets in Daraa, exposing the group’s persistent efforts to strike Israel from Syrian soil.
As American troops leave Iraq, the nation faces militias, Iranian influence, and Kurdish fears, while the Iraq War Legacy endures.
Baghdad cannot disarm militias by force, so PMF Control hinges on budget conditions and political deals as U.S. troops exit.
Gulf states hedge between Indian economic power and Pakistani military expertise, avoiding exclusive alignment while regional conflicts expose vulnerabilities.
Washington refuses ground forces, so its war on Iran becomes an endless cycle of strikes, ceasefires, and missed chances.
Hezbollah survives by outsourcing social costs to charities and political cover to Berri, shielding itself from disarmament pressure.
Most neighbors grounded Iranian airlines, but China keeps letting Mahan Air land, exposing an enforcement gap in Washington’s sanctions strategy.
Both sides believe stopping now would invite greater danger, so the war grinds on without victory or peace.