Iran faces existential crisis after decapitation of leadership, with fragmented IRGC and contested Strait of Hormuz under relentless bombardment.
Browsing: Policy Brief
Trump needs decisive victory against Iran’s asymmetric forces, not premature ceasefire, to secure energy leverage before facing China.
Takaichi leaves Washington having avoided Iran war commitment, though failing to secure Chinese security assurances amid Japan’s delicate diplomatic balancing act.
US policy toward Lebanon badly broken: Washington prizes Israeli security over Lebanese stability. Cycle of violence.
Europe should help in Gulf for its own interests: oil prices hurt, Russia gains. Engage constructively.
Lebanon’s parliament extends mandate two years amid war, postponing elections. Pattern continues—elections hostage to crisis.
Iran wields internet as political tool: connectivity for amplification. Officials admit—internet reserved for regime voices.
Israel’s forever wars: strategy shifted from deterrence to dominance/degradation. War now the arrangement itself.
When diplomacy nears threshold: twice war came while talks progressed. Ceasefire won’t restore old order.
A war for one man: Netanyahu’s 40-year obsession. Doesn’t need victory—just narrative to eclipse failures.