Hormuz chaos boosts EVs globally, handing China an unexpected advantage in the energy transition.

Slow, radar-visible, and predictable: Iran exposes the MQ-9 Reaper’s limits in contested skies.

700+ Palestinian women arrested. Starvation, isolation, rape threats. 90 dead in Israeli custody.

Disarming Hezbollah is unattainable. Excluding its political base guarantees the Lebanon ceasefire will fail.

DDR model for Hezbollah: phased disarmament, state monopoly on force, and Israel-Lebanon peace talks.

Dollar safe haven holds—but only because US energy and arms production insulate it from war shocks.

China’s Iran war role is norm promotion, not decisive influence; great-power framing misleads.

Iran war diverts global focus from Sudan. Less pressure on belligerents means more violence, not peace.

“Becoming Singapore” means choosing compliance. But Iranian missiles over Dubai expose the model’s limits.

Soft power is not enough during active war. Indonesia and the Gulf must shift to political mediation.