Iran will not collapse: Persia survived Alexander, Arabs, Mongols. Civilization endures. Time is weapon.
Browsing: Governance
Iranians await regime fall: see bombings as only way out. Fear war ending without change.
Turban vs. Guards: IRGC leads war, clergy sidelined. Third-tier commanders dominate. Mojtaba absent—power shift complete.
Instead of regime change, aim for regime weakening—enfeebling Iran so public can overwhelm it.
Mojtaba’s succession: father-to-son under war. System chose survival over doctrine. Islamic Republic’s future hangs.
IRGC evolved from revolutionary guard to dominant power network: military, intelligence, economic empire.
Reza Pahlavi’s restoration unlikely. 1979 Revolution dismantled monarchy. Nostalgia can’t rule Iran.
Protest record against autocracies: only Bangladesh succeeded. Iran’s regime massacred thousands. Caution needed.
Mojtaba Khamenei elected Supreme Leader amid war, signaling hardline continuity and IRGC consolidation.
Mojtaba Khamenei elected Supreme Leader amid war, signaling revolutionary continuity and institutional resilience.