Saudi Arabia cannot rely on an ambivalent US but cannot leave, exposing a global crisis in American security guarantees.
Browsing: Hal Brands
How four shocks—great-power, China, AI, and USA—are now dismantling global order and plunging the world into permanent crisis.
Autocratic powers align through intelligence sharing and military trade to challenge Western dominance and strain global security resources.
Eighteen months of aggressive unilateral operations leave Washington facing resilient adversaries in Iran and China, testing the limits of rapid victory.
The conflict with Tehran proves that military superiority fails without a long-term plan, exposing the ultimate limits of sheer tactical dominance.
The heartland wields cyberattacks, missiles, and coercion to crack open a richer, far more advanced rimland coalition paralyzed by its own internal divisions.