What Are the Unintended Consequences of the U.S.-Iran Conflict for Defense and Security?April 21, 2026 ARFA
Progress without justice: why Saif Al-Islam Gaddafi’s killing is unlikely to reach a courtroomApril 17, 2026 ARFA
The bomb and the ayatollah: Islamic just war and the nuclear question in post-Khamenei IranApril 7, 2026 ARFA
The Real War for Iran’s Future, Who Will Determine the Fate of the Islamic Republic?March 31, 2026 ARFA
Security Is the US Defense Industrial Base Building Enough Tomahawk Missiles?March 15, 2026 ARFA US builds ~90 Tomahawks/year, used 400 in 72 hours. Replacement slow. Readiness risk.
Analysis Could the US win a war with a near-peer adversary today?February 19, 2026 ARFA The U.S. military is unprepared for a near-peer war, with critical shortages in manpower, material, and money.
Analysis I was wrong about fighting China in 2025. But the US still isn’t ready for that fightFebruary 16, 2026 The U.S. military is not yet ready, integrated, or agile enough for a high-end Pacific conflict with China.
