“Iran’s strategy of shifting the conflict’s center of gravity outward is achieving meaningful success.”
Browsing: War
“Public support for continuing the war until the Iranian regime is overthrown has plummeted to 45.5%.”
Israel’s “Gaza-ification” of Lebanon involves killing journalists in marked vehicles to deter the act of bearing witness and accountability.
83% of Iranian strikes hit GCC. UAE suffers most. Gulf states resist joining war but US bases are liabilities.
Israel’s war consumes munitions at an unsustainable rate. US resupply prevents collapse. Alliance is existential, not optional.
Hezbollah fights for survival. Lebanon bans its military activity. Israel should avoid prolonged occupation while pursuing diplomacy.
Air campaigns weaken capabilities but not resolve. Regime change is necessary for durable peace. Clausewitz: will is dominant variable.
Iran targets energy and transport across all GCC states. Diplomacy failed. US prioritized Israel. GCC seeks UK, France, Ukraine partnerships.
Regime survives. Trump has no good options. Iranians lose most. Hardliners ascend. Netanyahu undermines diplomacy. The bill comes due.
War deforms moral imagination. Empathy becomes exhaustion. Suffering becomes spectacle. No one wins. The cycle repeats.