Washington refuses ground forces, so its war on Iran becomes an endless cycle of strikes, ceasefires, and missed chances.
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Hezbollah survives by outsourcing social costs to charities and political cover to Berri, shielding itself from disarmament pressure.
Most neighbors grounded Iranian airlines, but China keeps letting Mahan Air land, exposing an enforcement gap in Washington’s sanctions strategy.
Despite Treasury threats, Turkey still lets sanctioned Iranian airlines land, while a Turkish ground handler keeps servicing them
Washington’s influence may fade after Israel’s vote, but the Turkey rivalry and Iran threat will not quietly wait.
Trump threatened to bomb Oman, yet Washington still quietly needs Muscat to talk to Iran and the Houthis.
The Houthi seizure of Yemen’s west coast hands Iran a cheap chokehold, endangering Saudi oil routes and Suez Canal traffic.
A naval blockade alone cannot strangle Iran while land routes stay open to steady Russian and Chinese resupply.
American resistance to data centers is pushing AI compute offshore, giving Gulf states new bargaining power over U.S. technology firms.
War has made Hormuz alternatives urgent, yet Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon cannot build sovereignty without fixing fragmented states.