Neocon hopes for Azeri uprising dashed: Baku de-escalates, reopens border, chooses survival over confrontation.
Browsing: Policy Brief
China’s Iran bet collapses: $400B investment, 90% oil purchases rendered worthless as US strikes cripple Tehran.
Iran war: goals bigger than tools. No ground invasion, no exit plan—fiasco without end.
Great powers navigate Iran war: China hoards oil, Russia mediates, Turkey fears Kurds, Europe reluctantly joins.
“America First” collides with Iran war reality: US attacks absent threat, aligning with Israeli interests.
Trump treats war as business: security commodified, allies clients, conflict leverage. Instability becomes market feature.
Iran’s military-bonyad complex ensures continuity beyond Khamenei, exporting costs and converting endurance into leverage.
Trump holds ceasefire power as Iran exploits energy leverage to force early end before regime change.
Gulf states face Iranian retaliation despite neutrality, balancing defense with diplomacy as China emerges potential mediator.
Zionist networks span Epstein blackmail, regional expansion, and Iran war—weakening pro-Palestinian forces under messianic prophecy.