An Iranian collapse could push Shi’a militias and Najaf clerics toward a southern entity, testing Baghdad’s control over oil, ports and borders.
Browsing: Baghdad
Baghdad secured the Coalition exit before securing obedience from Iran-aligned militias, trading a counterweight for impunity it cannot undo.
The Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline is back but carries only 250,000 b/d.Chevron and ConocoPhillips sign deals, yet Iraq needs export routes to escape Hormuz dependence.
Basra’s partial oil recovery masks fiscal strain, as Hormuz attacks, dinar devaluation, and gas shortages squeeze salaries, subsidies, and electricity.
The U.S. withdrawal from Iraq removes militias’ excuse for weapons, but Baghdad must prove sovereignty amid Kurdish security fears.
Growing concerns over prisons, security gaps, and insurgent networks raise new questions about Iraq’s future stability after the American withdrawal.
US troops left Iraq, but Washington must sustain diplomacy, security cooperation, and commerce to counter Iran and prevent renewed instability.
Baghdad cannot disarm militias by force, so PMF Control hinges on budget conditions and political deals as U.S. troops exit.
Baghdad’s fiscal pressure and intra-Kurdish rivalries are reshaping the KDP–PUK bargain, reconfiguring Kurdistan Region federalism without systemic collapse.
Iraq’s omission from US-Iran talks reveals a quiet shift in how Tehran maintains influence inside Baghdad’s political system.